• freagle@lemmygrad.ml
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    10 months ago

    So it’s propaganda to say Ukraine is losing and was pretty much always losing?

    • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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      10 months ago

      Nice strawman. Specifically what I highlighted in my comment were:

      • Describing this guy as a “journalist”
      • Wildly misrepresenting the reason for his imprisonment
      • Inserting one-sided commentary on the progress of the war overall into an article that has nothing to do with “How well is the war going?”

      All of those, I would say, represent propaganda, because none of them would have any business whatsoever in the article if it were an attempt at honest journalism.

      But yes, in addition, I would say that it’s propaganda to say that Ukraine is losing. If I had to point to a single objective assessment of how the war is going, it’d be this map (from this article). There’s a bunch of Ukrainian territory captured by Russia since the start of the war, and a bunch of territory recaptured by Ukraine. Ukraine could still “win” the war in the end, or they could “lose.” But for the Russians to have been fighting for almost 2 years and only have rolled from 0-150 km into Ukraine at the nearest and furthest points of the border makes it hard for me to say the Ukrainians are “losing” the war.

      (Edit: Here’s the BBC article quoted in the OP article)

      • freagle@lemmygrad.ml
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        10 months ago

        One sided commentary about how the war is going? What kind of fantasy world do you live in where reality and unreality have equal journalistic weight.

        As for your understanding of how war works, it’s about as bad as your understanding of journalism and propaganda. The fact that Russia pushes past the areas that it now occupies is how it came to occupy those areas. You don’t march your forces to a line and just stop. You clear far ahead of what’s defensible, set up your defenses, and hold. That’s what you’re seeing in that map and the idea the Russia is losing because of that is, quite literally, lying Western propaganda.

        • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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          10 months ago

          One sided commentary about how the war is going? What kind of fantasy world do you live in where reality and unreality have equal journalistic weight.

          I could send you ten different accounts of Russian soldiers going through their own version of the hell this guy was going through. If I did that, would you say they should have equal “journalistic weight” as this guy’s (assumedly very real) suffering?

          Edit: I ask this because your separation of what information into “reality” and “unreality” is a very, very effective propaganda technique when those terms are given a certain type of definition. My suspicious is that accounts of suffering Russian soldiers or Russian losses, no matter how well-documented, would be classed as “unreality” or rejected for some other reason. My way of looking at the world is that as long as it’s pretty well-documented, either “side” of information can be accepted. A propagandistic view of the world is that only one “side” can be accepted, and the other side is “unreality” or has some similar reason for being dismissed. For that reason it’s a pretty important question.

          You clear far ahead of what’s defensible, set up your defenses, and hold.

          The west side of the Dnieper river is “cleared” by Russian forces, is it? Is that what you’re saying?

          Edit: Actually, let me ask it differently. So your assertion is that “winning” a war looks like pushing your forces over a river, advancing a few tens of km, then engaging in fighting and pulling back to the far side of the river, then having your enemy’s troops cross the river and entering into a protracted monthslong stalemate on your own side of the river. That’s the intended goal of the operation (“how war works”) when you’re winning; is that your assertion?

          • freagle@lemmygrad.ml
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            10 months ago

            You mean holding the ethnically Russian territory and then settling in for a long conflict to drain your opponent of materiel? When your primary advantages are size, production, population, and patience? Yes. I would say that the particular position of the Russian army is achieving it’s strategic objectives quite well.

            • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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              10 months ago

              So the intended strategy is to “settle in” on their own side of the border and spring-2022 frontline, to patiently drain Australia, the EU, Canada, and the USA of materiel, until we are all exhausted by the limitless might of the Russian industrial economy?

              Ukraine has problems in the war, to be sure. (A shortage of men in the war of attrition being one of them, absolutely.) But that way of explaining the strategy doesn’t make it sound like winning to me.

              • freagle@lemmygrad.ml
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                10 months ago

                Considering the US is clawing back munitions from allies, UK has announced multiple shortfalls of ammo and personnel, Germany has deindustrialized, and multiple fronts have opened up against the West (Niger, Palestine, etc) and Russian production is in full swing, it sounds like a winning strategy to me. Every war the West has lost they lost against an entrenched enemy.

                • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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                  10 months ago

                  the US is clawing back munitions from allies

                  I honestly have no idea what you’re talking about.

                  UK has announced multiple shortfalls of ammo and personnel

                  Probably true. Russia has suffered more severe shortfalls, although since their government and military aren’t subject to Western-democracy-style oversight, I doubt they’ve “announced” anything. This is another one-sided approach, where one (accurate) aspect of the problem gets magnified as if it existed in isolation without putting it in context or examining counterbalancing factors on “the other side.”

                  Want me to make an effort to compare and contrast supply levels on the Russian vs Western side?

                  Germany has deindustrialized

                  What on EARTH are you talking about?

                  multiple fronts have opened up against the West (Niger, Palestine, etc)

                  Yeah, we’ll have to pull all our troops out of Ukraine if it keeps up, and we might need to pull some warships out too, so we can send them to the Red Sea, and supplement all our existing forces in Palestine.

                  So: I’m starting to notice a pattern in the flow of this conversation. Honestly, I’m comfortable with calling it a day with the viewpoint I’ve laid out so far. If you don’t want to agree, and feel like Russia is dominating in this war, that’s your right to think that, and I won’t stop you.